是世界複雜,還是會計複雜?

歷史悠久學校的一大優點是擁有校友此資產,
今日William M. Isaac來商學院分享,
他曾是聯邦存款保險公司主席,目前為LECG 公司國際金融服務部門的主席,
下圖是他最新力作~ (被強迫一定要買來當作業閱讀QQ)

大致是闡述金融改革法案帶來的金融危機和隨之而來的恐慌,
值得提的是,他認為美國證交會(SEC)是2008年金融恐慌的首犯之一。
由於證交會與金融會計標準委員會(FASB)共同實施了市值計價會計準則(mark-to-market accounting),今日他又再次聲明,極度反對且認為這個準則是個災難,不但造成市場波動劇烈,且導致嚴重的信用緊縮和衡量成本超大。

哈~ 不過不是會計背景的人馬上問,什麼是mark-to-market accounting ???
簡單來說,就是你當下在活絡市場可以買賣的價值。

聽起來很間單,但是很不好衡量,可判決空間大。

以下稍微比較帳面價值(歷史成本制)與市價(市場成本制)的差異:

Book value vs. Market Value (from FSA&A 2edition)

  • GAAP generally reports assets and liabilities at historical costs, whereas the market attempts to estimate fair market values.
  • GAAP excludes resources that cannot be reliably measured such as talented management, employee morale, recent innovations and successful marketing, whereas the market attempts to value these.
  • GAAP does not consider market differences in which companies operate such as competitive conditions and expected changes, whereas the market attempts to factor in these differences in determining value.
  • GAAP does not usually report expected future performance, whereas the market attempts to predict and value future performance.

可是這本來就是個複雜的社會阿~
如何和到底有什麼方法才能反應"真實"的經濟狀況呢?
我個人認為,方法優缺取決於使用人的心態,一切都是人類心思過於複雜。

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